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AEK Athens v Real Madrid: Champions League preview

AEK Athens, 30th in the UEFA Champions League table, host a Real Madrid side that have won all three of their matches in the competition so far.

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AEK Athens v Real Madrid, UEFA Champions League

The occasion and the table

AEK Athens host Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2026 at 17:45, and the table shows a wide gap between the two sides.

Real Madrid sit 4th with 9 points from 3 matches. They have won all three, with no draws and no defeats, and have scored 10 goals while conceding 5.

AEK Athens are 30th with 3 points from their 3 matches. Their record reads 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded. The home side need points to climb the table, while the visitors arrive with a perfect record in the competition.

Recent form and home and away records

AEK Athens come into the match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches. Most recently, they lost 1-5 away to Manchester City. Before that, they were beaten 1-3 away by Shakhtar Donetsk. Earlier still, they won 1-0 at home against LASK. Before that came a 4-0 home win over Levski Sofia, and before that a 0-0 draw away to Levski Sofia.

Home has been a strong base for AEK Athens in the UEFA Champions League this season. Their record there shows 2 matches, 5 goals scored and none conceded.

Real Madrid have won each of their last 5 matches. Most recently, they won 3-0 away to Racing Santander. Before that, they won 2-1 away to Barcelona. Earlier, they beat RB Leipzig 4-1 at home. Before that came a 4-1 home win over Sevilla, and before that a 4-3 away win over Roma.

Away from home in the UEFA Champions League this season, Real Madrid have played 1 match and won it, scoring 4 goals and conceding 3.

Players to watch

Kylian Mbappe is Real Madrid's top scorer in the UEFA Champions League this season with 3 goals. He accounts for a significant share of the 10 goals the visitors have scored in the competition so far. He will be a central figure as they look to keep their perfect record.

How the two sides tend to play

The numbers point to contrasting profiles. AEK Athens have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and kept a clean sheet in 3 of them. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 matches. Their record in the UEFA Champions League table, however, shows 8 goals conceded in 3 matches, while their home figures in the competition show no goals conceded in 2 matches. The contrast between their home and overall numbers stands out.

Real Madrid have scored in all of their last 5 matches. They have kept just 1 clean sheet in that run, and both teams scored in 4 of those 5 matches. In the UEFA Champions League they have scored 10 and conceded 5 in 3 matches. Their attack has been consistent in recent matches, but opponents have often found a way to score against them.

That sets up a test of the defensive record AEK Athens have built at home in the competition against a Real Madrid side that have found the net in every one of their last 5 matches.

Estimated win chances

Estimated win chances computed by goal888 from market data, with the margin removed, are: AEK Athens 9%, draw 13%, Real Madrid 78%. These figures are estimates drawn from market data and are not a prediction of the result.

The match kicks off on 4 November 2026 at 17:45.

Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.

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