Elversberg v Mainz: level on points in the Bundesliga on matchday 8

The occasion and the table

Elversberg host Mainz on matchday 8 of the Bundesliga, with kick-off at 19:30 on 30 October 2026. The two sides are next to each other in the table and could hardly be more closely matched on paper.

Mainz are 7th and Elversberg 8th, and both have 10 points from 7 matches, built on identical records of 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. What separates them is goals. Mainz have scored 16 and conceded 13, while Elversberg have scored 12 and conceded 15, so Mainz hold the higher place on goal difference. A win for Elversberg would lift them above Mainz. A draw or a Mainz win would leave the order between the two clubs as it is.

Recent form and home and away records

Both teams arrive after back-to-back defeats. Elversberg's most recent match was a 0-2 home loss to Darmstadt. Before that they were beaten 0-4 away at RB Leipzig. Their only win in the last five came before that, a 4-3 home victory over Augsburg. Earlier still they lost 0-1 away at Union Berlin, and before that they drew 0-0 away at Schalke 04. That adds up to 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from those five matches.

Mainz most recently lost 0-2 away at VfL Bochum. Before that they were beaten 2-3 at home by Werder Bremen. Prior to that defeat they won 1-0 away at Schalke 04. Before that they lost 3-4 at home to Bayer Leverkusen, and earlier still they won 4-3 away at Borussia Mönchengladbach. Their record over those five matches is 2 wins and 3 defeats.

The venue records offer a contrast. Elversberg have played 3 Bundesliga matches at home this season, winning 2 and losing 1, with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. Mainz have been the stronger travellers in the league. They have won all 3 of their Bundesliga away matches this season, scoring 10 goals and conceding 3.

Players to watch

Maurice Krattenmacher is Elversberg's top scorer in the Bundesliga this season with 3 goals. With his side having found the net in only one of their last five matches, the hosts will be looking for goals from him and those around him.

Phillip Tietz leads the Mainz scoring charts in the Bundesliga this season with 5 goals. He accounts for a significant share of a Mainz attack that has produced 16 league goals, the higher total of the two sides.

How the two sides tend to play

The numbers point to two teams whose matches have often been open. Mainz's 16 goals scored and 13 conceded in 7 league matches show a side capable of scoring regularly but also of conceding. In their last five matches they scored in 4, kept 1 clean sheet, and saw both teams score in 3. Their defeats to Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen, and their win over Borussia Mönchengladbach, all featured goals at both ends.

Elversberg's recent figures are more extreme. Across their last five matches they scored in only 1, kept 1 clean sheet and had both teams score in 1. That single scoring match, the 4-3 win over Augsburg, contrasts sharply with four matches in which they did not score at all. Their league totals of 12 scored and 15 conceded give them the weaker goal difference of the two.

The home record of Elversberg, with 8 goals scored in 3 matches, suggests they have been more productive in front of their own supporters. Mainz, meanwhile, have conceded only 3 goals in their 3 league away matches, a notably tighter return than their overall defensive record.

Estimated win chances

Estimates computed by goal888 from market data, with the margin removed, give Elversberg 30%, a draw 25% and Mainz 45%. These figures are estimates based on market data and are not a prediction of the outcome.

Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.