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Lugano v Kauno Žalgiris: UEFA Conference League preview

Unbeaten Lugano, second in the UEFA Conference League table, host a Kauno Žalgiris side still looking for their first points.

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Lugano v Kauno Žalgiris, UEFA Conference League

The occasion and the table

Lugano host Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Conference League, with kick-off set for 5 November 2026 20:00. The two clubs arrive at very different points in the league phase.

Lugano sit 2nd in the UEFA Conference League table with 6 points from 2 matches. They have won both, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4, a return that puts them among the early front-runners.

Kauno Žalgiris are 36th, without a point after 2 matches. They have lost both, scoring 1 goal and conceding 8, and the visitors will be looking to open their account at the third attempt.

Recent form and home and away records

Lugano come into the match unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws. Most recently they won 5-2 away against Getafe. Before that, they beat Red Star Belgrade 3-2 at home. Earlier still, they drew 1-1 away against Maccabi Tel Aviv, and before that they had defeated the same opponents 2-1 at home. The oldest match in the run was a 2-2 draw away against NSÍ Runavík.

The record at home in the UEFA Conference League this season underlines the strength of the hosts. Lugano have played 4 matches at home in the competition and won all 4, scoring 8 goals and conceding 3.

Kauno Žalgiris have a far more difficult recent record, with 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches. Their latest outing ended in a 1-4 home defeat by Brann. Before that, they lost 0-4 away against Brighton & Hove Albion. Prior to that, they recorded their only win of the sequence, beating Beşiktaş 1-0 at home, a result that came after a 0-3 away defeat against Beşiktaş. The earliest match in the run was a 1-2 home defeat by Dinamo Zagreb.

Away from home in the UEFA Conference League this season, Kauno Žalgiris have played 1 match and lost it, failing to score and conceding 4 goals.

Players to watch

Albian Ajeti is the top scorer for Lugano in the UEFA Conference League this season with 1 goal. With the hosts spreading their goals around, he is a name to keep an eye on in the attacking areas.

How the two sides tend to play

The numbers point to Lugano as a side that consistently finds the net. They have scored in each of their last 5 matches. At the same time, they have not kept a clean sheet in any of those 5 matches, and both teams have scored in all 5 of them. That suggests matches involving the hosts have tended to be open, with goals at both ends.

Kauno Žalgiris have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet over that run, which came in the 1-0 home win over Beşiktaş. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 matches. The defensive figures are the main concern for the visitors: 8 goals conceded in 2 UEFA Conference League matches, and 4 conceded in their only away match in the competition this season.

The fact sheet does not include line-up shapes or formations for either side, so any assessment of style rests on these scoring and defensive figures alone.

Estimated win chances

Estimates from market data, computed by goal888 with the margin removed, give Lugano a 78% chance of winning, put the draw at 15% and give Kauno Žalgiris a 7% chance of victory. These figures are estimates drawn from market data and are not a prediction of the result.

Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.

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