Marseille v Toulouse preview: Ligue 1 matchday 9

The occasion and the table

Marseille host Toulouse on matchday 9 of Ligue 1, with kick-off set for 1 November 2026 19:45. Only two points separate the clubs, so there is a clear chance to change places in the table.

Marseille sit 9th with 12 points from 8 matches. Their record is 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded. Toulouse are 11th with 10 points from 8 matches, built on 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded.

The two records look very different. Marseille have yet to draw a league match this season. Toulouse have drawn as often as they have won and lost combined.

Recent form and home/away records

Marseille come into the match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches. Most recently they won 4-3 at home against Le Havre. Before that they lost 0-1 away to Sturm Graz, and before that they won 5-2 away at Angers. Earlier still came a 0-1 home defeat by Olympiacos and a 2-0 away win at Troyes.

Toulouse are unbeaten across their last 5 matches, with 2 wins and 3 draws. Their latest outing was a 0-0 home draw with Troyes. Before that they won 3-0 away at Le Mans, and before that they drew 2-2 away at Monaco. Earlier they beat Le Havre 3-2 at home and drew 2-2 away at Lorient.

Marseille's home record in Ligue 1 this season is 4 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 11 goals scored and 8 conceded. Toulouse have been hard to beat on the road in the league: 4 matches, 1 win, 3 draws and 0 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Previous meetings

The most recent meeting between the clubs, on 7 March 2026, finished Toulouse 0-1 Marseille. Before that, on 4 March 2026, the match ended Marseille 2-2 Toulouse. On 29 November 2025, the fixture also finished Marseille 2-2 Toulouse.

That gives Marseille one win and two draws from the last 3 meetings. Toulouse have not won any of them.

Players to watch

Amine Gouiri is Marseille's top scorer in Ligue 1 this season with 5 goals. Casper Tengstedt leads the way for Toulouse, also with 5 league goals. Both players matter a great deal to their sides' attacking output, and the match brings together two forwards level on goals.

How the two sides tend to play

The numbers point to open matches when Marseille are involved. They have scored 18 league goals, the higher total of the two sides, but have also conceded 13. In their last 5 matches they scored in 3 and kept a clean sheet in 1, and both teams scored in 2. Their results in that run have swung between high-scoring wins and narrow defeats in which they failed to score.

Toulouse's figures suggest a tighter, more balanced profile. They have conceded 11 league goals in 8 matches, and their away record shows only 6 goals conceded in 4 matches. In their last 5 matches they scored in 4, kept a clean sheet in 2, and both teams scored in 3. Their draw count, both overall and away from home, points to a side that rarely loses but often shares the points.

The contrast is clear. Marseille have no draws in the league this season, while Toulouse have no away defeats.

Estimated win chances

Estimated win chances computed by goal888 from market data, with the margin removed, are: Marseille 49%, draw 25%, Toulouse 26%. These figures are estimates based on market data, not a prediction of the result.

Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.