Midtjylland v Ajax: Conference League preview

The occasion and the table

Midtjylland host Ajax in the UEFA Conference League, with kick-off at 17:45 on 5 November 2026. The two clubs come into the match from different parts of the table, and both will see a chance to improve their position.

Midtjylland are 25th with 1 point from 2 matches. They have yet to win in the competition, recording 1 draw and 1 defeat, and have scored 1 goal while conceding 2.

Ajax sit 13th with 3 points from their 2 matches, the product of 1 win and 1 defeat. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 2. The gap between the sides is only 2 points, so the result could change the picture for both.

Recent form and home and away records

Midtjylland's most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat to Sint-Truiden. Before that, they drew 1-1 away to Egnatia. Earlier still came a run of three wins: 4-1 away to Rijeka, 2-0 at home to Rijeka and, before that, 3-2 at home to Bohemians. That gives them 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches.

Ajax arrive in stronger recent form. Their latest result was a 1-0 home win over AZ Alkmaar. Before that, they won 2-1 away to Sparta Rotterdam, and before that they beat Atalanta 2-0 at home. Earlier, Ajax won 5-2 away to Groningen, and the oldest match in this sequence was a 1-2 defeat away to Hajduk Split. Their record across the last 5 is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat.

At home in the UEFA Conference League this season, Midtjylland have played 3 matches, winning 2 and losing 1. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 3 in those games.

Ajax's away record in the competition this season reads 4 matches, 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Across those matches they have scored 11 goals and conceded 7.

Players to watch

Cho Gue-Sung is Midtjylland's top scorer in the UEFA Conference League this season with 1 goal. With the hosts having found the net only once in the league phase, any contribution from him in front of goal would be valuable.

For Ajax, Abdellah Ouazane leads the way in the competition this season, also with 1 goal. He is one of the players the visitors may look to as they try to build on their 3 points.

How the two sides tend to play

The numbers point to two teams who have tended to be involved in matches where goals come at both ends. In their last 5 matches, Midtjylland scored in 4 and kept a clean sheet in 1, while both teams scored in 3 of those games.

Ajax have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets in that run. Both teams found the net in 3 of those 5 games, the same figure as Midtjylland.

In the competition table, Ajax's 3 goals scored compare with Midtjylland's 1, while both sides have conceded 2. Ajax's aggregate away figures, 11 scored and 7 conceded across 4 matches, show a side that has scored freely on the road overall, although they have also conceded a fair number. Midtjylland's 5 goals scored and 3 conceded at home suggest they have generally been more productive in their own stadium than their league-phase total indicates.

Estimated win chances

Estimated win chances computed by goal888 from market data, with the margin removed, put Midtjylland at 36%, the draw at 25% and Ajax at 39%. These are estimates derived from market data, not a prediction of the outcome.

The figures reflect a closely balanced match on paper, with the hosts' home record set against the visitors' recent run of results.

Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.