Sturm Graz v Celje: UEFA Europa League preview
Sturm Graz, 19th in the UEFA Europa League table, host 29th-placed Celje at 20:00 on 5 November 2026, with the visitors still looking for a first win in the competition.
The occasion and the table
Sturm Graz host Celje in the UEFA Europa League, with kick-off at 20:00 on 5 November 2026. The two sides arrive at this match in different positions in the league phase, and the table shows the gap clearly.
Sturm Graz are 19th in the UEFA Europa League table with 4 points from 3 matches. Their record so far is 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 1 goal scored and 3 conceded. Points have come their way despite a modest return in front of goal.
Celje sit 29th with 1 point from 3 matches. They have yet to win in the competition, recording 1 draw and 2 defeats, and they have scored 2 goals while conceding 7. For the visitors, this match is a chance to add to a small points total.
Recent form and home/away records
Sturm Graz come into the match on the back of a 1-0 home win over Marseille, their only victory in their last 5 matches. Before that, they lost 0-3 away to Bournemouth. Before that came a 0-0 home draw with Rennes, and earlier still they suffered two defeats against Fenerbahçe: 0-1 at home and 0-2 away. That adds up to 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats.
At home in the UEFA Europa League this season, Sturm Graz have been hard to beat. They have played 2 matches, winning 1 and drawing 1, with no defeats. They have scored 1 goal and have not conceded at home in the competition.
Celje's most recent outing was a 2-2 home draw with Red Bull Salzburg. Before that, they lost 0-3 at home to Omonia Nicosia, and before that they were beaten 0-2 away by Bayer Leverkusen. Their two earlier matches in the sequence were against Slovan Bratislava: a 1-2 home defeat and, before that, a 1-1 away draw. Their last 5 matches therefore bring 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Away from home in the UEFA Europa League this season, Celje have played 1 match and lost it, scoring 0 goals and conceding 2.
How the two sides tend to play
The numbers point to a contrast in profile. Sturm Graz have leaned on defensive solidity. In their last 5 matches they kept a clean sheet in 2, and in none of those 5 matches did both teams score. The other side of that picture is a lack of goals: Sturm Graz scored in only 1 of their last 5 matches, the 1-0 win over Marseille.
Celje have been more productive in attack but far more open at the back. They scored in 3 of their last 5 matches but failed to keep a clean sheet in any of them, and both teams scored in 3 of those matches. Their 2-2 draw with Red Bull Salzburg showed they can find the net, while the 0-3 home defeat to Omonia Nicosia and the 0-2 loss away to Bayer Leverkusen reflect the goals they have conceded.
That sets up a clear test. Sturm Graz will want to extend a home record in the competition that has yet to see them concede, while Celje will look to bring the attacking threat they have shown into a match where goals have been hard to come by for opponents in Sturm Graz's recent home fixtures.
Estimated win chances
Estimated win chances computed by goal888 from market data, with the margin removed, are Sturm Graz 62%, draw 22% and Celje 16%. These figures are estimates derived from market data, not a prediction of the result.
Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.
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