Mainz v Bayern Munich: unbeaten Bundesliga leaders visit Mainz

The occasion and the table

Mainz host Bayern Munich on matchday 9 of the Bundesliga, with kick-off on 7 November 2026 at 14:30.

The two sides arrive in very different positions in the table. Bayern Munich are 1st with 18 points from 8 matches, a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. They have scored 27 goals and conceded only 8.

Mainz are 9th with 10 points from their 8 matches, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4. Their goal tally is evenly balanced, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.

Recent form and home/away records

Mainz come into the match on a difficult run. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-4 defeat away to Elversberg. Before that they lost 0-2 away to VfL Bochum, and before that they were beaten 2-3 at home by Werder Bremen. Their only win in the sequence came before that, 1-0 away to Schalke 04, while the earliest of the five was a 3-4 home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. That adds up to 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats.

Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last five. Most recently they won 2-0 away to Atlético Madrid. Before that they drew 2-2 at home with Borussia Dortmund, and before that they beat Magdeburg 6-1 at home. Earlier still came a 3-1 away win at Freiburg and, before that, a 2-2 home draw with Arsenal. Their record across those matches is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats.

Playing at home has not brought Mainz much reward in the Bundesliga this season. In 4 home league matches they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, scoring 6 goals and conceding 10.

Bayern Munich, by contrast, have not lost away from home in the league. Their 4 away matches have brought 2 wins and 2 draws, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded.

Previous meetings

The last two meetings between the clubs were both high-scoring and closely contested. Most recently, on 25 April 2026, the match finished Mainz 3-4 Bayern Munich.

Before that, on 14 December 2025, the meeting ended Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz. On that evidence, Mainz have found the net regularly against the league leaders, even if they have not beaten them in either of those two matches.

Players to watch

Phillip Tietz is Mainz's top scorer in the Bundesliga this season with 5 goals. With his side having scored 17 league goals in total, he has been a central part of their attacking output.

For Bayern Munich, Michael Olise leads the way with 6 Bundesliga goals this season, the highest individual tally on either side.

How the two sides tend to play

The numbers point to open matches involving Mainz. They have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, but kept just 1 clean sheet, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Across the league season, their 17 goals conceded in 8 matches, including 10 in 4 home games, show a defence that has been under pressure.

Bayern Munich combine a strong attack with a solid defence. They have scored in all of their last 5 matches and conceded only 8 goals in 8 league fixtures. Even so, they have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 5, and both teams scored in 4 of those matches, which suggests opponents have still found ways to score against them.

With Mainz scoring regularly but conceding often, and Bayern Munich scoring in every one of their recent matches, the statistics point to a meeting in which both attacks are likely to be tested.

Estimated win chances

Estimated win chances from market data, computed by goal888 with the margin removed, put Mainz at 14%, the draw at 15% and Bayern Munich at 71%. These figures are estimates, not a prediction.

Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.