Toulouse v Strasbourg preview: level on points in Ligue 1
Toulouse host Strasbourg on matchday 10 of Ligue 1 with the two clubs side by side in the table on 10 points each.
The occasion and the table
Toulouse host Strasbourg on matchday 10 of Ligue 1. Kick-off is at 19:45 on 6 November 2026. Just one place separates the two clubs in the table, and nothing separates them on points.
Toulouse sit 12th with 10 points from 9 matches, built on 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 13.
Strasbourg are directly below them in 13th, also on 10 points from 9 matches, but they have reached that total by a different route: 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded.
Recent form and home/away records
Toulouse’s most recent outing ended in a 0-2 defeat away at Marseille. Before that, they were held to a 0-0 draw at home by Troyes. Prior to that game, they won 3-0 away at Le Mans, and earlier still they drew 2-2 away at Monaco. The oldest result in the sequence is a 3-2 home win over Le Havre, which leaves them with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches.
Strasbourg arrive on the back of a 5-1 home win over Auxerre, a result that ended a difficult run. Before it, they lost 0-3 away at Rennes. Prior to that, they were beaten 1-3 at home by Paris Saint-Germain, and earlier still they lost 1-2 away at Nice. The oldest of the five is another 1-2 defeat, away at Paris FC. That adds up to 1 win and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches.
Home form has not been a strength for Toulouse in Ligue 1 this season. From 4 matches on their own pitch they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 goals and conceding 5.
Strasbourg’s away record in the competition is more troubling still. They have played 5 league matches on the road, winning 1 and losing 4 without a draw, with 8 goals scored and 13 conceded.
Previous meetings
Toulouse have won both of the last 2 meetings between the clubs. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse. Before that, on 6 December 2025, Toulouse won 1-0 against Strasbourg.
Players to watch
Casper Tengstedt is Toulouse’s top scorer in Ligue 1 this season with 5 goals, and he is the obvious focal point for a side whose scoring at home has been modest.
For Strasbourg, Gessime Yassine leads the way with 4 league goals this season.
How the two sides tend to play
The numbers point to two quite different profiles. Strasbourg’s 17 league goals are the higher tally of the two sides, but so are their 19 conceded. That pattern shows up in their recent matches too: in their last 5 they scored in 4, failed to keep a single clean sheet, and saw both teams score in 4.
Toulouse have been tighter at both ends. Their 12 goals scored and 13 conceded are the lower figures of the two clubs, and in their last 5 matches they scored in 3, kept 2 clean sheets and saw both teams score in only 2. Their home record of 3 goals scored in 4 matches suggests they have found chances harder to convert in front of their own supporters, while the 2 clean sheets in their last 5 show a defence capable of shutting games down.
The contrast is clear: a Strasbourg side whose matches have tended to be open, against a Toulouse side whose games have more often been low on goals.
Estimated win chances
Estimates calculated by goal888 from market data, with the margin removed, give Toulouse 46%, a draw 25% and Strasbourg 29%. These figures are estimates derived from market data rather than a prediction of the result.
Calculated from market prices, not a prediction or betting advice.
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